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Analysis of gold price trend on Thursday
Gold fluctuated in a narrow range in the Asian market on Thursday, currently around 2358. Gold prices rose by more than 1% on Wednesday, hitting a nearly two-week high of 2364 during the session, as recent US data showed a weak labor market, the Fed's meeting minutes were dovish, the market's bets on the Fed's September rate cut increased, and the US dollar index fell sharply to a nearly three-week low.
In addition, the situation in the Middle East has become tense again, and the resulting safe-haven buying has pushed gold higher. Another report showed that the US service industry shrank last month, which also put pressure on the US dollar and benefited the gold price trend. The US ISM non-manufacturing index fell sharply to 48.8 in June, the lowest level since May 2020, indicating a contraction in the service industry. Currently, the market believes that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September is 74%.
This trading day is the US Independence Day holiday, the US market is closed, and the US economic data has been released in advance on Wednesday, and market trading volume may be limited. Investors now look forward to the NFP employment report released on Friday to further clarify the path of US interest rate cuts.
（Source from: TV-Jun-CopyTrading）