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The topic of whether the altcoin market will reappear in the upcoming Crypto Assets market cycle has sparked widespread discussion. Although opinions vary, I firmly believe that the frenzy of altcoins is not only inevitable, but may also be more intense than ever before. This judgment is based on the following deep logic:
First, investors often fall into the "empirical trap." Market participants, especially retail investors, tend to summarize investment strategies based on past experiences. However, this historically-based decision-making often goes against future market trends. For example, after experiencing the bull market of 2017, many investors focused on Bitcoin during the bear market of 2018, only to miss the explosive growth of alts in the subsequent 2021. This constant adjustment yet always lagging investment mindset often leads to investors missing out in new market cycles.
Secondly, the anti-human nature characteristics of the market. When most investors focus their attention on a particular area, they often overlook other potential opportunities. This collective behavior provides capital with an excellent opportunity to enter neglected markets. For instance, if in the next cycle investors overly focus on Bitcoin, the altcoin market may experience a vacuum, creating conditions for large funds to deploy.
Furthermore, the profit-seeking nature of capital. Professional investors and institutions are often able to foresee market trends and position themselves in advance. They leverage the psychology and behavioral patterns of retail investors to push the market at the right time, maximizing their profits.
In addition, the market's innovation and evolution. Each cycle brings new technological breakthroughs and application scenarios, providing development space for alts. Emerging projects may attract the attention of investors, triggering a new wave of investment enthusiasm.
Finally, the impact of the global macroeconomic environment. External factors such as monetary policy and regulatory attitudes may affect the overall direction of the Crypto Assets market, which in turn affects the performance of alts.
In summary, the cyclical prosperity of the alts market is the result of the combined action of multiple factors. For investors, understanding these underlying dynamics and maintaining objectivity and rationality may be more important than following market sentiment.