🔥 PI/USDT short-term fluctuations | buy the dip opportunity or risk warning?

📊 Key Data Overview
- Current Price: 0.46214 USDT (24H +0.83%)
- Volatility range: 0.44585 ~ 0.48216 (amplitude 8.1%)
- 24H Volume: Trading Volume 68.35 million PI | Transaction Amount 31.36 million USDT
- Cost Average Price: 0.6 USDT (Current Price Inversion -27.7%❗)
- Weekly performance: Plummeted 25.96% (perpetual contract data)

📉 Technical Alert
1. Moving average resistance:
- MA5 (0.513) has crossed below MA10 (0.650) forming a death cross, the bearish trend remains unchanged.
2. MACD accelerated divergence:
- DIF (-0.233) and DEA (-0.218) are deeply entrenched below the zero axis, and although the MACD histogram (-0.014) has slightly narrowed, there is no reversal signal.
3. Contradiction in trading volume:
- 24H trading volume reached 68.35 million PI, but the net capital outflow was 158 million USD (large selling pressure continues)!

⚡ The focus of long and short market speculation
- Bullish hope: The current price is close to the 24H low point (0.44585). If it stabilizes, it may trigger an oversold rebound.
- Short-selling advantage: 95% of positions have an average cost higher than the current price (0.63919→0.46214), and trapped positions may trigger a panic sell-off.

🚨 Operation Suggestions
- short-term: Focus on the support level of 0.445; if it breaks, the risk will increase;
- Medium to long-term: The weekly downtrend channel has not been broken, and buying the dip requires waiting for a MACD golden cross + a volume breakout above MA5.

⚠️ Warning: Leverage contract funding rate -0.24609% (bearish dominant), high leverage can lead to liquidation!
💎 Core conclusion:
The "pullback" pattern is evident; it is best to observe with light positions before the bottom structure appears! If attempting to rebound, strictly set a stop loss at 0.440!
#七月行情预测#