Zhou Yanling: 7.2 Bitcoin Ether latest trend prediction analysis and trading strategy

Recently, the uncertainty of the global economy has intensified, and the US dollar index recorded its worst performance in the first half of the year since the 1970s. The market is concerned about the US fiscal deficit and trade agreements, while fluctuations in global trade and geopolitics also affect safe-haven properties. This week's focus is on Thursday's US June non-farm payroll report, which will impact the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, with the market expecting a rate cut to restart in September. Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve, increasing policy uncertainty. Cryptocurrency prices are driven up by multiple factors, and future trends will also be influenced by employment, inflation, and tariff policies, so crypto enthusiasts need to pay attention to these real-time news updates.
From the perspective of market trends, the daily chart shows that the price has closed with two consecutive bearish candles recently, and yesterday it broke below the previous low, forming a large bearish candle. Currently, short-term bearish sentiment is dominant. On the hourly chart, a significant rebound failure occurred near 106800, with highs gradually moving lower, indicating a weak sideways trend in the short term. The hourly MACD histogram continues to show negative values, with both DIF and DEA below the zero axis, indicating that the current market is in a weak state. The daily MACD is also operating below the zero axis, with bearish momentum increasing. The hourly RSI is currently around 37, close to the oversold area but not in extreme territory, still having room for further decline; the daily RSI is below 40, overall weak. The hourly EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 are showing a bearish arrangement, with prices repeatedly touching EMA7 and then being pressured to fall back, indicating a downward short-term trend. The daily EMA7 has crossed below EMA30, confirming a signal of medium-term weakening. In terms of short-term operations, the focus should be on shorting during rebounds to grasp the rhythm.
Zhou Yanling 7.2 Bitcoin trading strategy:
1. Short 107200-106500, stop loss above 108200, target 105300-104600.
2. More than 104300-105200, stop loss below 103300, target 106000-106800.
Zhou Yanling 7.2 Ether trading strategy:
1. Short at 2470-2440, stop loss above 2510, target around 2370, continue to look for a decline towards around 2280.
2. Lightly buy at 2370-2400, stop loss below 2330, target 2460-2490
【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risks yourself. The publication and review of the article may have delays, and the strategies may not be timely. Specific operations are subject to Yanling's real-time strategies】
This article is exclusively shared by senior analyst Zhou Yanling. The author has been engaged in financial market investment research for over ten years and currently mainly analyzes and guides the trading of BTC, ETH, DOT, DOGE, LTC, FIL, EOS, XRP, BCH, ETC, BSV, and other cryptocurrency contracts/spot operations. With a solid theoretical foundation and practical experience, the author excels in combining technical and fundamental analysis, emphasizing capital management and risk control. The trading style is steady and decisive, and the author is recognized by many investors for their easy-going and responsible character, as well as sharp and decisive trading.